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Thursday, April 27, 2006

Making Sense of it All

Moved on! Check TheCairoCalls

Whatever your political inclination are, your class, your level of education, or even whether you're actually in Egypt, or outside, there is one fact that is clear to everybody: this country is on the move.
Now, before dismissing my remarks as unjustified optimistic wish-wash let me just say that this movement I am referring to isn't necessarily in a positive direction. Heck, everything that is happening so far is negative (ferry, bird flu, Dahab, judges, sectarian violence, mass arrests). The regime is even getting back to completely-useless-albeit-foolish tactics. They arrested Al-Jazeera's bureau chief in Cairo for "disseminating false information", and a relatively unknown poet (Amin El-Deeb) for a really benign poem.
So, the thing isn't really all pink with rosy flowers on top.
But...
I can't see how the regime can really contain all the anger this time.
It's simply not possible at all.
With all the different parties that have axis to grind with this regime, it is quite implausible the regime would be able to crack down on everybody.
This regime is getting smaller (humiliated, defied, and criticized) by the day, and the opposition (judges, Kifaya, etc...) are getting larger by the day.
Every day is a decisive day, and even if no substantial gains are won by the opposition, they're winning more and more support, and more and more respect.


This time, and only this time, it can only get up from here.

Moved on!

4 Comments:

tomanbay, my concern is not whats happening with regime but what comes after the regime! The thought of a MB govt with a vague agenda is quite scary! Unfortunatly with all those moves "judges kifaya, youth, blah blah blah" the only one that has proven influence on the Egyptian society is the MB!

By Blogger Memz, at April 27, 2006 11:55 PM  

God bless your people, Egypt is seeing very difficult times. I'm sorry for all the people who have lost loved ones, and been abused. I hope you soon have more opportunity for a better future.

What I really mean is I hope your people can soon have a democracy. memz above fears for the future, which is very understandable. But sometimes the fear of things staying the same is worse than fear of the unknown. It is wrong for a foreigner to urge people to do anything unsafe or at the wrong time, but I hope the day comes that Egyptians are able to stand up for themselves.

Democracy is messy and strange, all the voices with their own messages. But they are our voices. It doesn't come with guarantees, and there are always people who want to run everyone else's life.

I'm in the US. Best wishes for you all.

By Anonymous jodetoad, at April 28, 2006 12:28 PM  

Agree there is a lot of ferment and a breakdown of fear and limited-to a limited extent though..but there seems to be no direction-no consensus in the society on major issues..no one expects keffaya or other movements to take the lead..political competition is between parties...and those we have are in a dire state..we appear to be stuck between NDP and MBs (yes not a party)..but i must admit, it is refreshing to witness this ferment.where is it going to lead to..dunno...i am really counting on the judiciary our last resort--i suppose it gotta get worse before it gets better--it is quite murky and chaotic--but at least it is not as stagnant as before

By Anonymous Om Abdul Karim, at April 28, 2006 1:18 PM  

i guess, the end of a journey brings fear and excitment about the begining of another

By Blogger Memz, at April 28, 2006 4:28 PM  

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